Gambling with leadership succession in Brazilian football: Head coach turnovers and team performance

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Gambling with leadership succession in Brazilian football: Head coach turnovers and team performance. / Galdino, Matheus; Wicker, Pamela; Soebbing, Brian P. .

in: Sport, Business and Management: An International Journal, Jahrgang 11, Nr. 3, 18.12.2020, S. 245-264.

Publikationen: Beitrag in FachzeitschriftZeitschriftenaufsätzeForschungBegutachtung

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@article{817a9631c4a14f4b8a56523d40e92f7a,
title = "Gambling with leadership succession in Brazilian football: Head coach turnovers and team performance",
abstract = "Purpose: Although leadership succession is a popular area of study across different professional sports leagues, existing research has largely ignored South America despite Brazilian football seeming to surpass the limits of coaching turnovers in comparison to any other league worldwide. Design/methodology/approach: This study examines the causes and consequences of 594 head coach turnovers in the Brasileir{\~a}o from 2003 to 2018. A comprehensive longitudinal dataset was compiled (n = 13,012) and a series of regression analysis evaluated the determinants of coaching replacements as well as their effect on team performance. Findings: Statistical results revealed that coaching survival is significantly determined by a negative spell of three to four games, parallel competitions and performance expectations with three games in advance. Regarding performance outcomes, it takes seven games for a slight sign of improvement to be identified after a coach turnover, but no clear positive effects are recognized as an aftermath, supporting the ritual scapegoating theory. Practical implications: The findings suggest that decision makers should consider the importance of a rational evaluation and the crucial component of time instead of judging coaches based on subjectivity and immediate results. Meanwhile, coaches should avoid voluntary turnovers, exercising priorities ahead of continental cups and sequences with few points accumulated. Originality/value: This investigation discloses a valuable reference for coaches, sport managers and academic scholars interested in Brazilian football, as it extends knowledge development and theoretical understanding for a region that still lacks scientific evidence to back up its practical assumptions in sports.",
keywords = "Brazil, Coaching, Football, Leadership, Performance",
author = "Matheus Galdino and Pamela Wicker and Soebbing, {Brian P.}",
year = "2020",
month = dec,
day = "18",
doi = "10.1108/SBM-06-2020-0059",
language = "English",
volume = "11",
pages = "245--264",
journal = "Sport, Business and Management: An International Journal",
issn = "2042-678x",
publisher = "Emerald Group Publishing Ltd.",
number = "3",

}

RIS

TY - JOUR

T1 - Gambling with leadership succession in Brazilian football: Head coach turnovers and team performance

AU - Galdino, Matheus

AU - Wicker, Pamela

AU - Soebbing, Brian P.

PY - 2020/12/18

Y1 - 2020/12/18

N2 - Purpose: Although leadership succession is a popular area of study across different professional sports leagues, existing research has largely ignored South America despite Brazilian football seeming to surpass the limits of coaching turnovers in comparison to any other league worldwide. Design/methodology/approach: This study examines the causes and consequences of 594 head coach turnovers in the Brasileirão from 2003 to 2018. A comprehensive longitudinal dataset was compiled (n = 13,012) and a series of regression analysis evaluated the determinants of coaching replacements as well as their effect on team performance. Findings: Statistical results revealed that coaching survival is significantly determined by a negative spell of three to four games, parallel competitions and performance expectations with three games in advance. Regarding performance outcomes, it takes seven games for a slight sign of improvement to be identified after a coach turnover, but no clear positive effects are recognized as an aftermath, supporting the ritual scapegoating theory. Practical implications: The findings suggest that decision makers should consider the importance of a rational evaluation and the crucial component of time instead of judging coaches based on subjectivity and immediate results. Meanwhile, coaches should avoid voluntary turnovers, exercising priorities ahead of continental cups and sequences with few points accumulated. Originality/value: This investigation discloses a valuable reference for coaches, sport managers and academic scholars interested in Brazilian football, as it extends knowledge development and theoretical understanding for a region that still lacks scientific evidence to back up its practical assumptions in sports.

AB - Purpose: Although leadership succession is a popular area of study across different professional sports leagues, existing research has largely ignored South America despite Brazilian football seeming to surpass the limits of coaching turnovers in comparison to any other league worldwide. Design/methodology/approach: This study examines the causes and consequences of 594 head coach turnovers in the Brasileirão from 2003 to 2018. A comprehensive longitudinal dataset was compiled (n = 13,012) and a series of regression analysis evaluated the determinants of coaching replacements as well as their effect on team performance. Findings: Statistical results revealed that coaching survival is significantly determined by a negative spell of three to four games, parallel competitions and performance expectations with three games in advance. Regarding performance outcomes, it takes seven games for a slight sign of improvement to be identified after a coach turnover, but no clear positive effects are recognized as an aftermath, supporting the ritual scapegoating theory. Practical implications: The findings suggest that decision makers should consider the importance of a rational evaluation and the crucial component of time instead of judging coaches based on subjectivity and immediate results. Meanwhile, coaches should avoid voluntary turnovers, exercising priorities ahead of continental cups and sequences with few points accumulated. Originality/value: This investigation discloses a valuable reference for coaches, sport managers and academic scholars interested in Brazilian football, as it extends knowledge development and theoretical understanding for a region that still lacks scientific evidence to back up its practical assumptions in sports.

KW - Brazil

KW - Coaching

KW - Football

KW - Leadership

KW - Performance

UR - https://www.mendeley.com/catalogue/c632c8a0-b54c-314c-ba3f-befebb153098/

U2 - 10.1108/SBM-06-2020-0059

DO - 10.1108/SBM-06-2020-0059

M3 - Journal articles

VL - 11

SP - 245

EP - 264

JO - Sport, Business and Management: An International Journal

JF - Sport, Business and Management: An International Journal

SN - 2042-678x

IS - 3

ER -

ID: 6009602